Dynasty Trade Value Chart (October) - Community Edition

I gave it a shot to create an updated Dynasty Trade Value Chart. Of course, there is no chance I can possibly replicate Tags’ work here, so I hope nobody sees this as disrespectful. But I did follow his charts ever since he started posting them, and think I got a vague idea of the system he employed.

You will probably disagree with half of my values here, if not more. I did check the lists against the ECR Dynasty Rankings (and wildly disagree with some of them!), but there’s probably still a few errors here.

I also disagreed with a few of Tags’ trade values, but did my best to adjust them carefully, always keeping in mind that he probably forgot more about fantasy football than I will ever learn.

Anyway, this is a forum, so these lists are up for debate - hence the label “community edition”. Don’t hesitate to tell me my numbers are garbage - they probably are :sweat_smile:

I will make separate posts for each of the 4 skill positions (QB/RB/WR/TE). It may take a few minutes before all 4 posts are up.

A note up front - as I work with Excel, I had to remove all apostrophes from player names, as they cause hiccups in Excel when working with formulas. I also removed all suffixes such as Jr., III etc.

The numbers in brackets represent the change to the official September chart.

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Quarterbacks

Please note these are superflex values. I’ll see how I can work the values for single QB leagues into my lists as well.

Name TV +/-
Patrick Mahomes 79 (-)
Kyler Murray 68 (2)
Josh Allen 68 (-2)
Lamar Jackson 65 (-)
Dak Prescott 65 (-)
Justin Herbert 64 (2)
Russell Wilson 59 (-)
Joe Burrow 58 (-)
Trey Lance 58 (-)
Trevor Lawrence 48 (-2)
Aaron Rodgers 45 (-)
Matthew Stafford 41 (6)
Ryan Tannehill 38 (-)
Justin Fields 38 (-2)
Deshaun Watson 36 (-2)
Tua Tagovailoa 36 (-)
Jalen Hurts 36 (3)
Baker Mayfield 32 (-)
Kirk Cousins 30 (1)
Zach Wilson 30 (-2)
Sam Darnold 28 (6)
Derek Carr 28 (3)
Carson Wentz 28 (-3)
Daniel Jones 28 (3)
Matt Ryan 27 (-3)
Tom Brady 27 (-)
Mac Jones 27 (1)
Jameis Winston 26 (-1)
Jared Goff 24 (-)
Teddy Bridgewater 16 (4)
Jimmy Garoppolo 14 (-4)
Drew Lock 12 (-4)
Jordan Love 12 (-)
Taysom Hill 10 (-4)
Ben Roethlisberger 10 (-4)
Taylor Heinicke 7 NEW
Cam Newton 6 (-3)
Ryan Fitzpatrick 6 (-4)
Mitchell Trubisky 6 (-)
Gardner Minshew 4 (-)
Andy Dalton 4 (-)
Davis Mills 4 (-)
Kyle Trask 4 (-2)
Jacoby Brissett 4 NEW
Tyrod Taylor 4 NEW

Running Backs

Name TV +/-
Christian McCaffrey 78 (-4)
Jonathan Taylor 74 (-6)
Saquon Barkley 72 (5)
Dalvin Cook 72 (-4)
Alvin Kamara 72 (-)
Najee Harris 68 (7)
Antonio Gibson 64 (6)
Nick Chubb 64 (-)
Derrick Henry 63 (-)
DAndre Swift 61 (15)
Aaron Jones 61 (-)
Joe Mixon 52 (-3)
Ezekiel Elliott 50 (-6)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 50 (-2)
Austin Ekeler 48 (3)
Javonte Williams 46 (4)
David Montgomery 42 (-)
Miles Sanders 38 (-4)
Josh Jacobs 36 (-)
Kareem Hunt 34 (4)
J.K. Dobbins 32 (-)
Chris Carson 32 (-2)
Travis Etienne 31 (-)
Cam Akers 26 (-)
James Robinson 26 (1)
Darrell Henderson 26 (5)
Trey Sermon 25 (-)
Michael Carter 24 (1)
Tony Pollard 23 (6)
Chase Edmonds 22 (3)
Damien Harris 20 (-)
Zack Moss 19 (-)
AJ Dillon 18 (-2)
Melvin Gordon 18 (-)
Myles Gaskin 18 (-4)
Leonard Fournette 17 (2)
Ronald Jones 15 (-6)
James Conner 15 (2)
Mike Davis 15 (-2)
Kenneth Gainwell 15 (3)
Chuba Hubbard 14 (4)
Jamaal Williams 14 (4)
Nyheim Hines 12 (-1)
Kenyan Drake 12 (-3)
Devin Singletary 12 (-1)
Alexander Mattison 12 (-)
J.D. McKissic 12 (2)
Raheem Mostert 12 (-3)
Latavius Murray 12 (4)
Sony Michel 10 (2)
David Johnson 10 (-2)
Elijah Mitchell 8 (5)
Tarik Cohen 8 (-2)
Rashaad Penny 7 (-2)
Cordarrelle Patterson 7 NEW
Phillip Lindsay 6 (-5)
Damien Williams 6 (4)
Gus Edwards 6 (-6)
Larry Rountree 6 (4)
Marlon Mack 6 (-1)
Jeff Wilson 6 (-)
Rhamondre Stevenson 5 (-4)
Darrynton Evans 5 (-1)
Giovani Bernard 5 (-)
Malcolm Brown 5 (3)
TySon Williams 4 NEW
Tevin Coleman 4 (-)
Darrel Williams 3 (1)
Justin Jackson 3 (-)
Wayne Gallman 3 (-2)
Anthony McFarland 3 (-)
Mark Ingram 3 (1)
Kylin Hill 3 (-)
Peyton Barber 2 NEW
KeShawn Vaughn 2 (-5)
Salvon Ahmed 2 (-4)
Ty Johnson 2 NEW
Chris Evans 2 (-)
Boston Scott 2 (-3)
Samaje Perine 2 NEW
Kerryon Johnson 2 (-2)
JaMycal Hasty 2 NEW
Benny Snell 2 (-2)
Demetric Felton 2 NEW
LeVeon Bell 2 (-)
Todd Gurley 2 (-1)
Jeremy McNichols 2 NEW

Wide Receivers

Name TV +/-
Tyreek Hill 80 (-)
D.K. Metcalf 76 (-)
Justin Jefferson 76 (1)
A.J. Brown 74 (-1)
Davante Adams 74 (-2)
CeeDee Lamb 74 (4)
Stefon Diggs 72 (-2)
JaMarr Chase 70 (24)
Calvin Ridley 68 (-4)
DeAndre Hopkins 66 (-2)
Terry McLaurin 65 (3)
D.J. Moore 62 (8)
Chris Godwin 54 (-4)
Allen Robinson 52 (-8)
Amari Cooper 52 (-)
Tee Higgins 48 (-)
Keenan Allen 48 (2)
Diontae Johnson 48 (4)
Cooper Kupp 46 (11)
Mike Evans 44 (-)
Deebo Samuel 42 (14)
Brandon Aiyuk 40 (-12)
Courtland Sutton 40 (-)
Jerry Jeudy 38 (-2)
DeVonta Smith 38 (-)
Jaylen Waddle 38 (-)
Michael Thomas 36 (-)
Chase Claypool 34 (-)
Laviska Shenault 34 (4)
Kenny Golladay 32 (-8)
Julio Jones 32 (-)
Tyler Lockett 32 (2)
Robert Woods 30 (-10)
Michael Pittman 30 (1)
JuJu Smith-Schuster 29 (-1)
Odell Beckham 26 (-2)
Tyler Boyd 26 (-)
Rondale Moore 24 (6)
Mike Williams 24 (9)
Darnell Mooney 23 (-)
Rashod Bateman 23 (-)
D.J. Chark 22 (-7)
Adam Thielen 22 (-2)
Curtis Samuel 22 (-)
Brandin Cooks 21 (-)
Corey Davis 21 (-)
Michael Gallup 20 (-1)
Elijah Moore 19 (-2)
Marquise Brown 19 (5)
Will Fuller 18 (-5)
Henry Ruggs 17 (-1)
DeVante Parker 17 (2)
Jakobi Meyers 17 (9)
Jarvis Landry 16 (-3)
Robby Anderson 16 (-3)
Terrace Marshall 16 (-)
Jalen Reagor 16 (-)
Gabriel Davis 14 (-3)
Bryan Edwards 14 (-2)
Christian Kirk 14 (1)
Van Jefferson 14 (8)
Amon-Ra St. Brown 13 (-2)
Antonio Brown 13 (1)
Mecole Hardman 12 (-2)
Marvin Jones 11 (-)
Darius Slayton 11 (-)
Sterling Shepard 11 (1)
Jamison Crowder 11 (2)
Parris Campbell 10 (-4)
Kadarius Toney 10 (-2)
Nelson Agholor 9 (1)
Amari Rodgers 8 (-2)
T.Y. Hilton 8 (-1)
Tim Patrick 8 (4)
Hunter Renfrow 8 (5)
Nico Collins 7 (-2)
Denzel Mims 6 (-8)
Dyami Brown 6 (-5)
Cole Beasley 6 (-)
Sammy Watkins 6 (-)
TreQuan Smith 5 (-1)
Allen Lazard 5 (-1)
Russell Gage 5 (-1)
DWayne Eskridge 5 (-1)
Josh Palmer 5 (-)
James Washington 5 (-)
A.J. Green 5 (2)
Emmanuel Sanders 5 (2)
Quintez Cephus 5 (3)
Randall Cobb 5 (3)
K.J. Osborn 5 NEW
Anthony Miller 4 (-1)
Josh Reynolds 4 (-1)
DeSean Jackson 3 (1)
Kendrick Bourne 3 (1)
Quez Watkins 3 NEW
Cedrick Wilson 3 NEW
Freddie Swain 3 NEW
Chester Rogers 3 NEW
NKeal Harry 2 (-3)
Tylan Wallace 2 (-3)
Tutu Atwell 2 (-3)
Donovan Peoples-Jones 2 (-2)
Tyler Johnson 2 (-1)
Marquez Callaway 2 (-)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 2 (-)
Anthony Schwartz 2 (-)
Rashard Higgins 2 (-)
Keelan Cole 2 (-)
Devin Duvernay 2 (-)
Jaelon Darden 2 (-)
Miles Boykin 2 (-)
Andy Isabella 2 (-)
Cornell Powell 2 (-)
Zach Pascal 2 NEW
Deonte Harris 2 NEW
Kalif Raymond 2 NEW

Tight Ends

Name TV +/-
Travis Kelce 52 (-)
George Kittle 46 (-3)
Darren Waller 42 (-)
T.J. Hockenson 42 (3)
Kyle Pitts 37 (-3)
Mark Andrews 35 (-)
Noah Fant 32 (4)
Dallas Goedert 28 (6)
Jonnu Smith 26 (-4)
Mike Gesicki 22 (-)
Hunter Henry 20 (4)
Dawson Knox 19 (12)
Tyler Higbee 18 (-)
Logan Thomas 18 (-)
Pat Freiermuth 18 (2)
Robert Tonyan 16 (-4)
Cole Kmet 14 (-3)
Evan Engram 12 (-2)
Austin Hooper 12 (-1)
Blake Jarwin 12 (1)
Zach Ertz 11 (-1)
Gerald Everett 11 (-)
Dalton Schultz 10 (7)
Rob Gronkowski 9 (2)
Maxx Williams 9 NEW
Adam Trautman 8 (-6)
Jared Cook 8 (2)
Tyler Conklin 8 NEW
Irv Smith 6 (-9)
David Njoku 5 (-)
Anthony Firkser 5 (-2)
Mo Alie-Cox 5 (3)
O.J. Howard 4 (-6)
Eric Ebron 4 (-4)
Hayden Hurst 4 (-5)
C.J. Uzomah 4 NEW
Albert Okwuegbunam 3 (-)
Harrison Bryant 3 (-2)
Will Dissly 3 (-)
Dan Arnold 3 (-)
Ian Thomas 3 (-)
Donald Parham 3 (1)
Juwan Johnson 3 NEW
Tommy Tremble 3 (1)
Hunter Long 2 (-2)
Jack Doyle 2 (-)
Kyle Rudolph 2 (-)

A few player notes:

Taysom Hill is only on the QB list, Cordarrelle Patterson only on the RB list. My Excel tables do not support multiple designations - nor multiple values per player, hence the lack of QB values for single QB leagues.

The reason why I downgraded Jonathan Taylor is because his value was bumped significantly in the September edition, and to be perfectly honest, I never really understood why. His new value (74) is in between the September (80) and August (63) values, which I feel is correct.

Some may argue that Najee Harris is undervalued, and I wouldn’t disagree. I didn’t want to bump him up too far, though. The first impression was great, but he still needs to prove he can operate consistently on that level over several weeks.

D’Andre Swift was quite underrated before, as far as I am concerned, and is doing great so far, so I bumped him quite a bit - maybe a bit too far.

Ja’Marr Chase saw a huge push, but he had been downgraded a lot in September, over his preseason fumbling issues. Which he seems to have put behind him, so I bumped him back up.

The situation around Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk is difficult to read. Maybe I adjusted their values too much. After all, this chart is supposed to reflect long-term value. But after what we’ve seen so far, I just couldn’t rank Aiyuk higher in value than Samuel.

I actually appreciate the effort you put here, and I even bookmarked this page, so I will use it next time I am looking over trades.

I think it was Yates who did the last September one, which is my gold standard for trading reference. No offense to Dan Harris, but he doesn’t include the draft pick values in his weekly charts, which is a must-have for my dynasty league, which is VERY active in trading.

Here is the draft pick reference, if anyone needs it (charts don’t transfer easily to this format):

|Potential Draft Pick| Value|
|TOP-3 PICK| 44|
|TOP-6 PICK| 34|
|TOP-12 PICK| 24|
|EARLY 2ND ROUND| 18|
|LATE 2ND ROUND| 12|
|EARLY 3RD ROUND| 6|
|LATE 3RD ROUND| 2|

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Suggestion on Cordarrelle Patterson: Maybe make two of him? A Patterson-RB and a Patterson-WR? one could argue his value as a WR is greater than his value as a RB, since he gets a lot of rushing bonus.

Having said that, you really need to give him a bump after a 3 td week. 7 points is a severe undervalue IMO. Anyone who has him already will laugh at you if you try to trade Rashaad Penny or Nico Collins for him. I am thinking around 14, in the Chuba Hubbard/Jamaal Williams territory, and even that might be too conservative. Considering I have him in one league, it would take an offer of somebody in the 30’s to make me consider trading him.

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Thanks, I really appreciate it!

I think Dan’s charts refer to redraft leagues. Of course, the values are vastly different for that format, as they don’t take next season in account.

Thanks, I indeed forgot those. In order for the table to appear formatted, you need to enter this line after the first:

|---|---|---|
Potential Draft Pick Value
TOP-3 PICK 44
TOP-6 PICK 34
TOP-12 PICK 24
EARLY 2ND ROUND 18
LATE 2ND ROUND 12
EARLY 3RD ROUND 6
LATE 3RD ROUND 2

I had thought about it, but as a matter of fact, you can only trade him once. Plus, I use a whole batch of interconnected Excel tables for stats and projections, and duplicating a player would kinda mess this up. E.g. I’d then have to distribute more than 100% passing and rushing volume for Atlanta, as he would appear in their team list twice.

I’m really torn on this one. Does he really hold a lot of dynasty value? How much do you think you would get for him if you traded him after the season? Will he be the Falcon’s red zone swiss army knife again next year? Dude’s turning 31.

One thing I noticed about Tags’ charts was that he adjusted values very subtly when a player had a hot or cold streak. Patterson wasn’t even on the chart in September.

After last week’s performance, I agree, I’d be hesitant to trade him away even for 2nd round value. But even the question if he can continue operating on that level is up in the air. 2-3 games without a TD, and people will be hesitant to trade a 3rd round pick away for him.

The trade value chart is not the final answer to trade balancing anyway. 3 players with a trade value of 10 each don’t represent the same value as 1 player with a value of 30. Also, for evaluating a trade, you need to consider your team’s situation. In win-now mode, I’d overpay for Patterson, or hold him at any cost if I already own him. In rebuild mode, I’d consider selling him for an early 3rd round pick if I can’t get a better offer.

Still, I agree - giving him and Rashaad Penny the same value does seem odd at this stage.

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Another player I’ve been pondering over - do I have to start reducing Aaron Rodgers’ trade value?

He looks great (if we forget about week 1 - as a Cheesehead, I keep insisting there was no week 1 this season :sweat_smile: ), so performance-wise, there is no need to downgrade him.

But for all intents and purposes, we have to assume that he’s playing his final season. So with every game played, there is less remaining value you’d get when trading for him.

I decided to leave his value unchanged for the time being, as I feel the decline in remaining value was balanced out by the doubts about his status being fully removed. But for the November chart, I guess I’d have to take at least 5-7 points off his value, even he performs perfectly fine throughout October.

I expect Rodgers will play somewhere else next year, with Denver being the possible destination. I’d treat him as a continuing player until we see some kind of drop-off. Even as a non-Packer fan, I view the first week as an aberration. Rodgers is 37 now (38 in December), and Tom Brady is 44. I won’t say Rodgers can play for another 6 years like Brady, but I expect he can play to over 40, which is easily another 2-3 years, which is plenty of time in dynasty terms.

I wouldn’t reduce him to zero, but at least the possbility of a retirement should be taken into consideration when determining his remaining trade value.

I would still consider trading an unproven rookie for him in dynasty. I would still have a few years to draft his replacement, as I enjoy his solid numbers.

Good effort here. My primary question when looking at these is how everyone weights their chart for age and present production. Personally, when I am looking at these types of charts, I am often surprised that it appears there is not more weight put on present value since that is the most known quantity. Adam Thielen and Tyler Lockett are two guys I see that I often think are awfully low given their significant present impact. I understand some level of projection has to occur for the future, but how do you rate WR’s still in their prime producing WR2 numbers equally with a receiver who hasn’t shown any major signs of a breakout yet? I prefer production to projection, but often times in dynasty people seem to prefer projection to production. Also, what’s your time window for ranking players? I

Very valid points. This is why I avoid making such lists during the season, even if I refer to the lists of others. I look at the game production first, even as I keep the rating lists as a background to my thoughts. Trading is an art, not a science. Raw numbers in a list can be tempting to the math mind, but they shouldn’t overwhelm the art of the deal.

That said, these lists do serve a purpose. I want to see how an objective person might view relative value between two players. But few trade partners are ever objective, so you have to go beyond what the charts say, into that murky territory of trying to read the other player’s cards, to use a poker term.

Usually, this season and next. The NFL is too volatile to look beyond that. Some QBs and WRs may get some long-term bonus, if they score big after their rookie contract.

With that being said, I would be very careful in dynasty leagues to chase after short-term production. It’s usually a safe way to weaken your team.

Take Cordarrelle Patterson again. Dude’s 30, playing his 9th NFL season. What are the actual chances that scores of coaches and scouts missed out on him being a generational talent? Exactly. Zero.

He’s in a “right spot at the right time” situation. And if experience teaches us one thing, then it’s: these situations don’t last long. So would you really spend 2nd round capital on him, hoping that he’ll keep performing on that level? I wouldn’t.

OTOH, if I owned Patterson, I certainly wouldn’t sell him for low 3rd round value. That’s where these charts fall short. It doesn’t always make sense to trade a player for a specific value, no matter what side of the trade you’re on.

There’s so many factors playing a role in a trade. Are you in win-now or rebuild mode? Do you and the other owner have specific positional needs where you can help each other? Aside from the current value, how do you expect a player’s value to develop in the coming 6-18 months?

Take Van Jefferson. I also struggled with the decision how far I should push his value. Ended up pushing him from 6 to 14. He is cutting deeply into the WR2 production of a pass-heavy team, but the sample size is still small to push him on the same level as Robert Woods.

OTOH, he now has the same trade value as Gabriel Davis, who is a complete non-factor so far in Buffalo. Would I trade away Jefferson for Davis? Hell no. But Jefferson’s sample size is just too small, and Davis’ outlook still too good (Sanders and Beasley will be gone next year), to push either one a lot further in any direction.

A trade value chart can only serve as an indication when evaluating a trade, not as the final guideline to finding the perfect trade.

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Yates published his October Dynasty Trade Value Chart, and unsurprisingly, we have valued a few players quite differently. I took a look at some of these players, here’s my thoughts. As usual, I appreciate any feedback - namecalling is accepted.

Pos Name Yates Zak Diff Who’s Right
QB Justin Fields 45 38 7 Yates
QB Aaron Rodgers 36 45 -9 Yates
QB Jameis Winston 22 26 -4 Zak
QB Ben Roethlisberger 14 10 4 Zak
QB Andy Dalton 12 4 8 Zak

Justin Fields - I agree with Yates, he needs to be bumped up more. But then we also gotta move Andy Dalton down.
Aaron Rodgers - I agree with Yates, he needs to be downgraded due to the fact we may see his final season (as discussed above).
Jameis Winston - I stand by my TV. Winston looks solid. The lack of offensive weapons is not his fault. If he still doesn’t produce when Thomas and Smith are back on the field, then I’m ready to downgrade him. The involvement of Hill isn’t enough of a reason for me. That won’t last, and Jameis is still young.
Ben Roethlisberger - I stand by my verdict. Big Ben looks like a shadow of his former self, his o-line is horrible, and he’s definitely in his final season, which I even expect to end prematurely. Big Ben holds close to no dynasty value anymore, even my TV may be too high.

Pos Name Yates Zak Diff Who’s Right
RB Dalvin Cook 80 72 8 Zak
RB Najee Harris 61 68 -7 Zak
RB Ezekiel Elliott 61 50 11 Zak
RB James Robinson 42 26 16 Yates
RB Josh Jacobs 32 36 -4 Zak
RB Miles Sanders 26 38 -12 Yates
RB Kenyan Drake 19 12 7 Zak
RB Sony Michel 17 10 7 Zak
RB Cordarrelle Patterson 2 7 -5 Split

Dalvin Cook - staying with my TV. He’s getting older, he’s injured. I would have accepted to leave his TV unchanged for the moment, but even adding 4 ticks? Sorry, no.
Najee Harris - staying with my TV. He’s an RB1 right out out of the gate. There is no reason to believe that will change. Even my number may be too low.
Ezekiel Elliott - staying with my TV. Okay, maybe I’m a tad too low. But Pollard is cutting deeply into his production. We’re close to an RBBC there. And Zeke isn’t getting any younger.
James Robinson - I agree with Yates, I had him too low. His next-year outlook is still somewhat cloudy, but we gotta see if, when and how Etienne is able to enter the NFL stage.
Josh Jacobs - staying with my TV. He has shown that the Raiders backfield is still his. That’s why I also stick with my lower ranking for Kenyan Drake. He didn’t pick up steam even with Jacobs out. He plays a role in the offense, but it’s a limited one.
Miles Sanders - I agree with Yates. His starting job is in real danger, he’s getting outperformed by Kenny Gainwell.
Sony Michel - staying with my TV. He’s a handcuff with an expiry date. No reason to bump up his TV.
Cordarrelle Patterson - split. As discussed above, I think he has very limited trade value, despite his hot streak. I’m still okay with my 7, but can also easily accept Yates’ 2.

Pos Name Yates Zak Diff Who’s Right
WR Cooper Kupp 58 46 12 Yates
WR DeAndre Hopkins 54 66 -12 Zak
WR Chase Claypool 44 34 10 Zak
WR Michael Pittman 40 30 10 Split
WR Diontae Johnson 38 48 -10 Zak
WR Mike Williams 32 24 8 Yates
WR Brandon Aiyuk 30 40 -10 Yates
WR Henry Ruggs 29 17 12 Split
WR Laviska Shenault 22 34 -12 Split
WR KJ Hamler 9 0 9 Zak
WR Van Jefferson 6 14 -8 Yates

Cooper Kupp - I agree with Yates, had him too low.
DeAndre Hopkins - staying with my TV. The Cards are looking great, and there will be better games ahead for D-Hop. No reason yet to decrease his TV by that much.
Chase Claypool - staying with my TV. Is anybody seeing something I don’t? His production is underwhelming, and we don’t know who will throw him the ball next year (or even later this season)… I am fine with leaving his TV unchanged, but bump him by 10 points? Why?
Diontae Johnson - also staying with my TV. I would accept leaving his TV unchanged as well, due to the uncertain future of the franchise. But he’s the #1 target, so why drop his value?
Michael Pittman - split decision. I’m okay with bumping him up a little more, Another 10 points seem a bit much, though.
Mike Williams - I agree with Yates, I had him too low.
Brandon Aiyuk - Yates has him right. I didn’t dare dropping his value even further than I did, but I should have.
Henry Ruggs - split decision. I moved him down by 1 point, Yates moved him up by 11. The truth is probably somewhere in the middle.
Laviska Shenault - split decision. I stand by the decision to move him up, but I probably went too far. I only looked at the Chark injury, but not at the poor QB play (and poor state of the entire franchise).
KJ Hamler - staying with my TV. Which is zero. Hamler was a “maybe” going into this season. He has much better receivers ahead of him, and has shown nothing so far that would indicate he could leapfrog them. And now he tore his ACL, which ended his season. And his dynasty stock is rising? I also noted he made a big jump in the dynasty ECR. Why??
Van Jefferson - I agree with Yates. Bumped him a little too far. The trend looks good, but the sample size is still too small.

Pos Name Yates Zak Diff Who’s Right
TE Kyle Pitts 49 37 12 Split
TE George Kittle 40 46 -6 Yates
TE Jonnu Smith 20 26 -6 Yates
TE Dalton Schultz 16 10 6 Yates
TE Irv Smith 15 6 9 Zak
TE Adam Trautman 14 8 6 Zak

Kyle Pitts - Split decision. Why did I move him down by 3 points? I honestly can’t say. Moving him up by 9 points appears a bit too much as well, though. Did he show anything in September that we did not anticipate in August already?
George Kittle - I agree with Yates, he needs to be moved down further than I did.
Jonnu Smith - I agree with Yates. I have to. I listened to him when acquiring Jonnu almost everywhere. Guess I have to listen to him when reducing Jonnu’s value now as well. The TE situation in New England istn’t pretty.
Dalton Schultz - I agree with Yates. I didn’t dare to move Schultz up any further, but there is no reason not to.
Irv Smith - I stay with my TV. Like KJ Hamler, Smith is another mystery case of “stock increased after a season ending injury”. Honestly, I don’t get it!
Adam Trautman - I stay with my TV. Trautman’s previous value was based on the expectation that he’d get a significant share of a notable Saints passing volume. Neither of both has happened.

One that shocked me was Cordarelle Patterson. I think you are BOTH wrong. You are both telling me that Patterson is worth LESS than Kenyan Drake? I’ll happily trade you Drake for Patterson straight up, in any league!

Drake’s role in Las Vegas is limited, and will remain that way, even in case Jacobs gets injured. But at least he has a role there, that should be pretty safe throughout the 2022 season.

Patterson’s hot streak can end any week, and when that happens, his fantasy value will be zero.

As a Patterson owner, you should certainly try to get more for him. As an RB-needy team in win-now mode, I won’t even blame you for paying more for him.

But in terms of dynasty trade value, he’s still low. Give me the name of just one RB who had a lasting breakout in his age-30 season. There is none. And there still won’t be one after this season.

Patterson still is a gadget player, not a lead back. The Falcons offense is in a terrible state, which means they need to rely on gadget plays rather often. This will probably continue for some time, but you can’t survive an entire season on gadget plays alone.

Patterson plays around a third of the total snaps. That’s not a player you want to invest serious capital in. Especially not when he’s on the wrong side of 30.

4 weeks isn’t a simple “hot streak”. That is utilization by an offense.

John Henry Johnson had his first 1000 yard season at the age of 33. John Henry Johnson Stats | Pro-Football-Reference.com

Sure, Patterson is a gadget player. And Kareem Hunt is a 3rd down RB, but Hunt also carries significant value as an RB. So does Patterson, especially for the efficiency he brings to his touches.