This was a pretty good week for Axe Elf, even by Axe Elf standards, with the potential to be an outstanding week. None of my 16 H2H matchups will be official until after MNF, but I have a reasonable chance of posting a perfect undefeated 16-0 this week if everything goes my way. Here’s what has to happen, from what I perceive to be the most difficult to the least difficult, for me to clinch 16 wins on Monday night.
League 1: CeeDee Lamb must score at least 22.0 (half-PPR).
League 2: Greg Zuerlein must score less than 8.5 (fractional FG scoring, 0.1 pts per yd).
League 3: CeeDee Lamb must outscore Tony Pollard by at least 6.6 (PPR).
League 4: CeeDee Lamb must score at least 13.6 (half-PPR).
League 5: Miles Sanders + Greg Zuerlein cannot outscore CeeDee Lamb by more than 10.7 (half-PPR).
League 6: Jalen Hurts cannot outscore CeeDee Lamb by more than 11.6 (PPR).
League 7: Jalen Hurts + Quez Watkins cannot outscore CeeDee Lamb by more than 21.1 (PPR, 6 pt pass TDs).
League 8: Jalen Hurts + Ezekiel Elliott cannot outscore CeeDee Lamb by more than 27.4 (PPR; 1 pt per 20 yds passing).
League 9: Jalen Hurts + Dallas Goedert + Greg Zuerlein cannot outscore CeeDee Lamb by more than 39.1 (half-PPR).
League 10: CeeDee Lamb must outscore Greg Zuerlein by at least 2.3 (half-PPR).
League 11: Tony Pollard cannot outscore CeeDee Lamb by more than 23.8 (half-PPR).
League 12: The Dallas Cowboys DST cannot outscore CeeDee Lamb + Ezekiel Elliott by more than 10.0 (PPR).
League 13: Jalen Hurts cannot outscore CeeDee Lamb by more than 41.5 (PPR, 6 pt pass TDs).
League 14: Dak Prescott + Amari Cooper cannot outscore CeeDee Lamb by more than 59.55 (PPR, 1 pt per 20 yds passing, 6 pt pass TDs).
League 15: Dak Prescott + Ezekiel Elliott + CeeDee Lamb + Greg Zuerlein have to score at least 9.75 (half-PPR).
League 16: CeeDee Lamb cannot score fewer than -63 points (half-PPR). I know, it SEEMS like a lock that he won’t have 32 lost fumbles, but apparently this could happen in 1 out of 100 contests, because my opponent still has a 1% chance of winning, according to the Yahoo matchup projector. It ain’t over 'til it’s over.