I’m still not done with my 2022 rankings, but they are slowly coming along. Here are some early findings for every team:
Arizona Cardinals
If James Conner manages to stay healthy, he could have an RB1 season. On the passing side, I do not see a single elite player, though.
Atlanta Falcons
Stay away in redraft formats. In dynasty leagues, Kyle Pitts and Drake London have some value, but both are pretty expensive already.
Baltimore Ravens
Unless he gets injured again, Lamar Jackson is bound for a top 5 season. On the passing side, both Rashod Bateman and Devin Duvernay are undervalued. Bateman could be a borderline WR1, Duvernay a WR4/FLEX player. All that while Mark Andrews is bound for another season as the TE#1 overall. The Ravens are a run-first offense, but they will still throw the ball every now and then. And there aren’t many mouths to feed.
Buffalo Bills
Last year, all Buffalo pass catchers were undervalued. This year, they are mostly correctly priced. Josh Allen will be the QB#1 this year. Gabriel Davis is still having some sleeper appeal, but at his current ADP of WR#37, he’s not criminally underrated anymore. I have him as a low-end WR2. James Cook is overrated in dynasty. He’s a pass-catching back, but Josh Allen doesn’t throw to RBs a lot.
Carolina Panthers
I gave CMC his usual insane volume, and projected him to play 13 games (which would be more than in the 2 previous seasons combined). That relegates him to RB2 territory. Even if he plays all 17 games, I see him only as a mid-range RB1. Don’t overpay. And stay away from all other Panthers players as well, at least in redraft.
Chicago Bears
David Montgomery works at his current ADP. All other Bears players don’t.
Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals currently have 2 WRs in the WR1 range in ADP. And that is correct. Just like pretty much all other Bengals players. Burrow may be a tad expensive at ADP QB#7, but not by much.
Cleveland Browns
Can we project the Browns without knowing how long Deshaun Watson will be banned? It’s difficult, but I think the current ADP of all Browns skill position players reflect that adequately. DPJ has some sleeper appeal, as the Browns don’t have many pass catchers, and even a backup QB will have to throw the ball somewhere.
Dallas Cowboys
Another team for which I don’t have many complaints about the current ADPs. Jalen Tolbert is a very intriguing rookie who could have some FLEX appeal right out of the gate.
Denver Broncos
I find them difficult to project. Russell Wilson is too risky for me at ADP QB#10. Javonte Williams as low-end QB1 and Melvin Gordon as low-end RB2 are correctly priced at their current ADP. I don’t agree to Tim Patrick being undervalued.
Detroit Lions
The ADPs work for me. Swift and Hockenson are workable players on their positions. No other player holds a lot of appeal, though, but that’s reflected by their ADPs.
Green Bay Packers
Allen Lazard is undervalued. Another WR will significantly beat their ADP, but we cannot be sure which one. Sammy Watkins, Randall Cobb and Romeo Doubs are interesting late-round fliers. Take your pick and hope for the best.
Houston Texans
I agree with all ADPs. But there will be one WR beyond Brandin Cooks who will significantly beat their ADP. John Metchie and Nico Collins are both intriguing stashes.
Indianapolis Colts
@edmcgon will love this one: JT did not come out as the RB#1 in my projections. Najee Harris did. Not by a wide margin, though. Still, didn’t see that coming. Nyheim Hines has sleeper appeal in PPR formats. Michael Pittman is undervalued at WR14. Quite a bit, actually. I have him as a top 5 candidate.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Most players are correctly priced. I’ll stay away from the pass catchers, as there are too many of them. Dan Arnold could have some appeal, if he can keep Evan Engram in check.
Kansas City Chiefs
I have Mahomes a tad lower than his ADP, but not by much. If you absolutely want to draft a pass catcher not named Travis Kelce, I’d go for MVS. He has some WR2 upside, but with a risk. We don’t know yet how this receiver corps will work out.
Las Vegas Raiders
Stay away, they are in for a terrible season. Okay, okay, I’m kidding, of course. Most players are adequately priced. I’m a little higher on Jacobs than his RB#21 ADP, I see him closer to the upper end of the RB2 range. The other RBs are slightly undervalued as well. As is Darren Waller - if he stays healthy. If not, I now see the appeal in Foster Moreau. Davante Adams is overrated, but not by much. ADP WR#4, I have him as WR#7. Renfrow is undervalued at WR#34 ADP. Finally, Derek Carr has low-end QB1 upside. The Raiders are a good team to invest in this year.
Los Angeles Chargers
No complaints about the ADPs. Keenan Allen is a tad overrated, and Josh Palmer could outperform his ADP, but keep expectations tempered.
Los Angeles Rams
Again, no complaints here. At their current ADP, I’d rather draft Tyler Higbee than Allen Robinson. Van Jefferson’s upside is limited, at least if (as projected by yours truly) OBJ will return to the Rams at some point.
Miami Dolphins
The backfield is a mess, but you already knew that. I have ranked them all equally. Which makes Sony Michel the most intriguing pick, as he has the lowest ADP. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle could both beat their ADP. I have no issues with the current prices of the Dolphins pass catchers, including Mike Gesicki.
Minnesota Vikings
Dalvin Cook will struggle to meet his ADP of RB#5, even if he plays all 17 games. Which I don’t think he will. Irv Smith could be a smash pick on TE. And my #1 hot take this year: KJ Osborn will outperform Adam Thielen this season. Thielen’s ADP is WR#33, Osborn’s is WR#83. Osborn is the #1 sleeper this year.
New England Patriots
Mac Jones is a mid-range QB2, which slightly beats his ADP. Hunter Henry is a mid-range TE2, which is slightly lower than his ADP. No other skill position player is in the 2nd tier on their position. Stay away from this team. Low-volume, many mouths to feed - pure fantasy poison.
New Orleans Saints
If Jameis Winston stays healthy, he will beat his ADP of QB#20. Not by a huge margin, though - he can be a high-end QB2, but not more. The rest of the team is a fantasy mess. I projected Kamara with a 4 game ban, which could drop him out of RB2 range already. He’ll still be valuable when on the field, but not at his current RB#11 ADP. Keep in mind, he could miss more than 4 games. That video wasn’t pretty at all. No other Saints player has any fantasy appeal. That includes Chris Olave. I’ll stay away from the 2022 Saints.
New York Giants
The same goes for the 2022 Giants. I projected Saquon Barkley with 17 games, a 50+% rushing share and a nice chunk of air targets. He came out as RB20. The volume simply isn’t there. Add a multitude of mouths to feed, and you have a perfect recipe for fantasy desaster.
New York Jets
The 2022 Jets will be much better than their 2021 version. Still, I don’t see a single skill position player to beat his current ADP. Not even Breece Hall. His ADP is RB#22. That’s exactly where he came out in my rankings. If you are looking for intriguing fantasy options from New York, go upstate. There are none in New York City this year.
Philadelphia Eagles
And the rant continues. Yes, Jalen Hurts is a fantasy QB1, but a low-end one. An ADP of QB#6 is too much, even if he will be the #1 runner on the team. Which he will be, which renders all their RBs useless. Dallas Goedert as TE#8 works for me. But the WRs? A.J. Brown’s ADP is WR#11. In my rankings, he came out as WR#20. And only after I pushed the Eagles’ passing volume beyond my comfort zone. Stay away.
Pittsburgh Steelers
As mentioned earlier, Najee Harris came out as RB#1 overall. Didn’t see that coming. But the reason is simple: Pittsburgh has nobody else to carry the ball. Benny Snell or Anthony McFarland? Come on! Trubisky will get some carries, which could elevate him into mid-range QB2 territory. If he plays all 17 games. Pittsburgh’s pass catchers are all a tad overrated, but not by much. But there is a chance the Steelers won’t produce a tier 1 pass catcher this year.
San Francisco 49ers
Trey Lance is an unproven asset. I have him as QB#8, but wouldn’t necessarily recommend to draft him at that position. He’s a risk/reward pick. The backfield is ambiguous as always. But with Mitchell at ADP RB#24 and TDP at RB#75, it’s a no-brainer whom to pick. There is every chance TDP can outperform Mitchell. TDP is a great late-round pick in redraft and an intruguing option in dynasty. All other 49ers are aptly priced at their curent ADP.
Seattle Seahawks
What a mess. But 2 players have appeal here: D.K. Metcalf, whom I have a quite a bit higher than his WR#18 ADP. And Ken Walker, who came out way ahead of Breece Hall in my rankings. But I projected neither Penny nor Carson with a full season, which helps Walker’s volume.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Will Tom Brady finally show some age regression? I don’t think so. He’s the QB#2 in my rankings. Evans, Godwin and Gage could all be WR2s or better. And Fournette could have a top 3 finish, while Rachaad White and Ke’Shawn Vaughn still both beat their ADP.
Tennessee Titans
No other team came out so close to their players’ ADPs. The WRs are a tad underrated, especially Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has some sleeper appeal. But the overall passing volume is too low to make any of them highly interesting.
Washington Commanders
Move along, there’s nothing to see here. Okay, maybe J.D. McKissic, in PPR formats. But even he will be only an RB3/FLEX player. A fate that could befall every single skill position player. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Commanders will produce no QB2, RB2, WR2 or TE2 this year. Stay away from this team.
