So you have the first pick in the first round of a PPR or half PPR draft (redraft league). I’ll even toss in superflex to make it interesting. Do you take RB Jonathan Taylor of the Colts or Najee Harris of the Steelers? Or someone else?
I am taking Harris. He has Taylor’s upside, and with the Steelers starting a new QB, they might run him even more to take pressure off the passing game. and Harris is young and built like Derrick Henry, so he can withstand a lot for now.
With Taylor, I am concerned about 2 things: They ran him a ton last season, which increases injury risk. But even ignoring that, they also acquired Matt Ryan, who is a far more capable QB than Carson Wentz ever was. The Colts could throw more than they did, and have more success with it. This means fewer touches for Taylor. Good for his health, bad for his overall numbers. I still expect Taylor to have a solid floor, and if I was drafting 2nd and he was there, I’d grab him. But the negatives drop him from 1.01 consideration, in my opinion.
The only remote possibility I might consider here is Josh Allen, since it is superflex. But I prefer waiting on QB in later rounds (possibly 3-7 or later), where I can grab QB’s to play matchups. The only way I grab Allen is if he drops to round 2. I get the inclination to grab a QB in superflex in the first round, but 1.01 is a smidge too early, even for me.